That interesting preprint from earlier this year is now published! Main finding is that the MARGINAL benefit of many interventions may be small, so e.g. stay-at-home may not reduce COVID-19 cases if schools/unis are already closedhttps://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/12/15/science.abd9338 …
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They didn’t look at test and trace either. Or at impacts both direct and indirect due to scale. Or timing. If you were first you were probably worst. Or the impact of climate. Or how Asian societies fared. Not a good study.
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