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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Dec 2020

    Health Nerd Retweeted Dr. Ali Nouri

    Something I've been thinking about for a while is that it is entirely possible that reinfections are much more common than we think if they are predominantly less severe (or asymptomatic)https://twitter.com/AliNouriPhD/status/1338963471359242241 …

    Health Nerd added,

    Dr. Ali NouriVerified account @AliNouriPhD
    1/📌Reinfection in young, healthy individual despite development of antibody response following 1st infection. 2nd infection, 185 days earlier, was less severe. To confirm reinfection, genomes from both episodes sequenced & confirmed to belong to different SARS-CoV-2 clades🧵 pic.twitter.com/G49s9kzqtL
    Show this thread
    10:36 PM - 15 Dec 2020
    • 10 Retweets
    • 61 Likes
    • alfonzo Garf Entiiiity #GoForZero #NetZero ☀️ a misanthrope Rachel Katy McConkey Robert Justin Tindall, MPH Atomsk's Sanakan
    8 replies 10 retweets 61 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Mike Dee‏ @MikeDeeeeeee 15 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Would be consistent with the hypothesis that SARS-CoV-2 is just another coronavirus like HCoV-OC43 if the latter caused the pandemic of 1890-91. Reinfection of that certainly possible after 6-24 months and would only cause the common cold.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Dec 2020
        Replying to @MikeDeeeeeee

        Pretty much. Would be bad news for herd immunity, but otherwise not terrible

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Balgor‏ @Balgor11 15 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        It makes sense. My VERY limited knowledge of immunity seems to think a 2nd reinfection would trigger the memory B-cells to produce antibodies pretty quickly but not instantly. It's not sterilizing immunity, but I'll take prevention of serious disease.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Show replies
      1. James Ashburner‏ @EurekaJames 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Well, in a while we’ll know well enough and we’ll say “well you’re right [wrong] of course”. Luna will smirk knowingly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. LIndenArden‏ @inden_l 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Or if the first infection was less severe.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. LIndenArden‏ @inden_l 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @inden_l @GidMK

        An asymptomatic/mild 1st infection would be less likely to be 'caught'. Not an immunologist but...wouldn't an asymptomatic/mild case also be more likely to NOT produce long lasting immunity?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael B. Clark‏ @HealthLGBTQ 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Just a thought. If asymptotic re-infection is more common than we realize AND the vaccine only prevents severe infection (not transmission), do we potentially have a vaccine that is ineffective at stopping this pandemic?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Buster‏ @Major_Hutch 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HealthLGBTQ @GidMK

        It falls in to being as effective as the 2009 H1N1 vaccines, it downgrades it into a minor flu in which hospitals are better equipped to handle and can generally be dealt with via rest and some gatorade

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. She Persisted‏ @PersistingStill 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        I have read that this is the natural course of action for most viral illnesses to the point that eventually the original virus is much less deadly, falling to the level of 'common cold'. I pray that occurs here. It seems the most optimistic hope given the level of infections

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Tom Andrews 💙‏ @0bj3ctivity 16 Dec 2020
        Replying to @PersistingStill @GidMK

        Over thousands and years and also after selective pressure on the survival of the susceptible population of the infected species

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation

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