Not quite. You were echoing data while ignoring numerous contradicting papers that set the risk of covid-19 for young ages much higher than you stated. The Galileo analogy was done by GBD ppl. You are being dismissed for ignoring science, not for improving it.
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I was echoing the paper which I consider to be the most comprehensive and representative. Sorry if its conclusions don't suit you. And I don't have to cite and address every paper; it is a tweet, not a literature survey.
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Replying to @DrEliDavid @GidMK and
You owe nothing to nobody, just don't try to convince the public or policymakers in the name of science while choosing to ignore it. And by the way, according to Euromomo there is already an excess death for ages 45-64, so claiming no risk for <70?pic.twitter.com/tVbujcVp6b
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I cited the most comprehensive peer-reviewed paper that calculates an IFR of 0.05% for under 70. That's accurate science. And don't get me started on excess deaths. Total mortality in Sweden is same as 2015, and in UK same as 2009. That's your "once in a century" pandemic.pic.twitter.com/7WlsfMFSJL
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Replying to @DrEliDavid @GidMK and
The point was to show that the pattern is similar between ages 45-64 and older. Still think covid-19 risk for 45-64 is nothing we should worry about?
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You should be worried about, exactly as you should be worried about influenza like illnesses especially in severe years (e.g., 2015). In Israel every year 1500 more people die each January compared to June, but we never locked down. Why? Those ILI deaths don't have blue blood?
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Replying to @DrEliDavid @GidMK and
Asaf Peer Retweeted EZ
Honestly, I don't understand why you are all in on differential protection if that is the case. P.S. it's not the case, COVID-19 is ~10x deadlier than influenza, even the 2015 one. See here for instance for Israel:https://twitter.com/EZ900/status/1329697222380974082?s=20 …
Asaf Peer added,
EZ @EZ900באוקטובר קצב התמותה העודפת (יחסית לעונה) של בני 70+, היה הגבוה ביותר שארע מאז קום המדינה. התמותה העודפת המצטברת ממשיכה להיות קרובה לדיווחי מ. הבריאות, מה שמראה שהנפטרים מקורונה לא היו אנשים שעמדו גם כך למות. עד ל 5 באוקטובר מתו כ 1,300 עד 1,900 איש יותר משהיו מתים לולא המגיפה pic.twitter.com/WenR5y3ITUShow this thread1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Covid is much deadlier than other ILI for the elderly. That's why Great Barrington Declaration which I support calls for focused protection on them. There is a real crisis for that population. For the rest, it is not deadlier than other ILI. Just look at total annual mortality.
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Replying to @DrEliDavid @GidMK and
I was looking at exactly that in fact, for ages 45-64 there were a lot of deaths this year and for them too it's 5X-10X more deadlier than the flu. In overall numbers it's obviously lower than the older ones but it still is high.
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This is for UK. One of the countries with highest Covid mortality on Europe. And they made every mistake possible. 2020 no worse than 2009. Where is the "once in a century" pandemic?pic.twitter.com/R6p5EnFN42
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I mean, firstly the year is not over and these calculations are in retrospect. But the obvious rejoinder is that mortality running backwards more than a decade, after a century of increases every year, is a pretty huge deal
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2020 is indeed a deadly year, and some of the increased deadliness can be attributed to the lockdowns (delayed treatments). But the pandemic of once in a century? Locking down the entire world? They will be remembered as criminal overreactions.
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