This is only possible because China is a small island far from the initial outbreak of the pandemic.https://twitter.com/ArjunKharpal/status/1337967839320309760 …
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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Mike Bird Retweeted Arjun Kharpal
This is only possible because China is a small island far from the initial outbreak of the pandemic.https://twitter.com/ArjunKharpal/status/1337967839320309760 …
Mike Bird added,
I understand the point you are making, but are you suggesting that if we dropped any democratic check on our governments & went with full-on authoritarianism that would have been better? S. Korea, Taiwan, and Japan all seem to have managed without compromising their democracies
I suspect that at the first signs of an outbreak in the event of a future deathly virus, the impulse will be to shut down the borders first. Taiwan starting banning people from Wuhan by mid-January. Had the US done the same, even by early March, they could have avoided it.
Moreover, Taiwan did not ban people entering from China until after a dozen cases were identified in the country (on January 26th), at which point it's likely that there was a circulating outbreak anyway
I think one thing we have now generally seen is that travel bans are ineffective measures at the start of an epidemic, because by the time you implement them it's already too late. Very useful for long-term control, but not short-term management
On the contrary, they have to be implemented quickly, or it's too late. Both Australia and NZ introduced travel bans very early.
I travelled from Milan, Italy to Australia (where I live) on February 24th via Zurich, at which point there was a travel advisory against China but no ban specifically. An outright ban was implemented mid-March. Not really that quick
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