That there can be an impact on general mental health without an immediate and drastic increase in suicides. Suicidality is more complex than rates of depressive symptoms measured by survey
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Does this mean that a delayed increase in suicides is likely (say, in a year or two)?
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Hard to say imo. The problems with mental health may be transient, or they may worsen once the economic issues compound
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Sweden have also seen an increase in mental health problems, so the fact that there's a pandemic on would indeed appear to be stressful regardless of whether you implement voluntary or involuntary measures:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7503043/?fbclid=IwAR16ROcwhqpl_CpzKXPhKEfhy5VB1X3q5mWzC_Kb8WK3Yu5l7qCfWHzzJPk …
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Corollary: It's a bit crazy right now but life goes on.
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I guess fact 3 is: yet. It certainly feels like a time the government should tread carefully and be sure to balance restrictions with appropriate financial support.
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Any ideas what is causing the offset? From my understanding of the etiology of suicide 80-90% had an underlying mental illness, I don't think that rate would change except up, more time/support with/from family? Lower mobility lower opportunities? It's way out of my expertise.
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Did you see the EMS paper from UCLA? It gives some evidence that fatal ODs have increased. I found it convincing, but not definitive.
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I've seen research suggesting that fatal ODs are related to drug supply interruptions (border closures), so people are getting drugs from other sources.
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