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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      Lockdowns have mostly not been associated with a large increase in suicide rates: a thread of evidence (CW: suicide, mental health) 🧵

      26 replies 267 retweets 775 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      Since this has been a major talking point throughout the pandemic, I thought I'd collate the now quite large evidence-base showing that suicide rates have mostly remained steady during lockdowns/COVID times

      2 replies 20 retweets 136 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      1. Queensland, Australia Slight decrease in suicide rates after emergency announced, no statistical change over lockdown vs previous years https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(20)30435-1/fulltext …pic.twitter.com/OpPtxh4zgm

      2 replies 10 retweets 72 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      2. Victoria, Australia Suicide rates have remained steady despite the longest lockdown in the world https://www.coronerscourt.vic.gov.au/forms-resources/publications?combine=&field_audience_target_id=All&field_publication_type_target_id=4392&year=2020 …pic.twitter.com/53pXq4U590

      3 replies 8 retweets 73 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      3. England, UK No real variation in suicide rates in the period studied including pre/during/post lockdown http://documents.manchester.ac.uk/display.aspx?DocID=51861 …pic.twitter.com/9Y2rZpWW1r

      2 replies 6 retweets 68 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      4. Massachusetts, U.S. No evidence of a large increase in suicides during lockdown https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.20.20215343v1.full.pdf …pic.twitter.com/4sOOg7hTYW

      2 replies 9 retweets 66 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

      5. Japan An interesting counterfactual - no 'lockdown' implemented, and no rise in suicides during the state of emergency, but a sharp increase later in the yearpic.twitter.com/LJEnKeDqe6

      6:11 PM - 8 Dec 2020
      • 4 Retweets
      • 67 Likes
      • Luca Forconi Atharva Kharbade Ryan Hisner Whitney R. Robinson Taulant Muka 30 to 50 Feral #GenX-AZ Memes Harry Hong Dmitry Raluca Mihalache-Lehto
      5 replies 4 retweets 67 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

          6. New South Wales, Australia No major change in suicide rates in 2020 compared to 2019, or during lockdown (April-June)pic.twitter.com/uEpU2cA25K

          1 reply 3 retweets 55 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

          7. Japan (again) No evidence of an increase in suicides during school closures in children/adolescents https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0145213420303355 …pic.twitter.com/7hz4XRBMuT

          3 replies 2 retweets 54 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

          8. Peru Suicides (and homicides) dropped during lockdown, particularly among women https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0091743520303625 …pic.twitter.com/ntRfHHQrxw

          2 replies 6 retweets 59 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

          Important to point out here that this DOESN'T MEAN that lockdowns/government interventions have not impacted mental health, merely that they have mostly not been associated with a massive rise in suicides as was initially feared

          2 replies 17 retweets 162 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 Dec 2020

          It also doesn't mean that lockdowns definitely aren't causing individual suicides, but it does make it likely that if these are occurring they are being counterbalanced by suicides that didn't happen

          8 replies 10 retweets 118 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 9 Dec 2020

          Also important to point out that this certainly does not exclude the pandemic generally causing more suicides. It just shows that none of the evidence to date supports the fears of a huge increase in suicide associated with lockdown that continue to be constantly given air

          7 replies 4 retweets 41 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Dec 2020

          9. Another datapoint to add - Saskatchewan, Canada. Only data up to the end of October, but still about 10% fewer suicides than you'd expect in 2020 overallpic.twitter.com/z84Lc9g12c

          1 reply 5 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        9. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Ivy‏ @ivyleaf_3 8 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          I saw an article somewhere (can't recall sorry) that discussed how this was disproportionately affecting women and was possibly tied to the impacts of lost employment & independence and increase in caregiving pressure.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Ivy‏ @ivyleaf_3 8 Dec 2020
          Replying to @ivyleaf_3 @GidMK

          Have you heard of any work looking at why this would occur in Japan and not increase suicides in other countries? Different supports in place, cultural norms etc?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Kawasaki_KR-1‏ @KawasakiKR11 8 Dec 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Here are the JPN data in better context. YTD, suicide is up 68. (traffic accident deaths are down 270).pic.twitter.com/a3bT9U1yZi

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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