Big news! Our systematic review and meta-analysis of the age stratified IFR of COVID-19 with @BillHanage, Andy Levin, and others has now been published in the European Journal of Epidemiologyhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10654-020-00698-1 …
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The other big thing we found was that the age breakdown of places almost entirely explained (~90%) the observed variance in population IFRpic.twitter.com/5knmGqgnad
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In other words, the population IFR of a place largely boils down to who gets infected. In Northern Italy, lots of old people got COVID-19, so the IFR was much higher than in Iceland, where it was mostly younger people!
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Thanks for sharing - really interesting. The dramatic increase in IFR after age 60 likely explains why sub-Saharan Africa has not seen the high levels of mortality seen elsewhere - totally different population structurespic.twitter.com/aMA2hLK7rY
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You have to be seriously old to have a significant background risk of dying within 28 days of an arbitrary date. If you die within 28 days of a positive test Covid is overwhelmingly probably involved.
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My mother is 94 and tested covid positive 2 weeks ago. Has a weak heart and failing kidneys. Had a slight cold and has survived. Would love a more in depth breakdown - blood group? Obviously she's O positive. What else makes a difference?
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Vit. D levels perhaps...
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Terrible odds.
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Your risk of death *from any cause* goes up exponentially as you age...
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Really? That’s fascinating! If true this will shake the world of epidemiology and actuarial science to its core. Please tell us more...
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