Paper: ...point estimate of 50, the true range is likely 10-100 Press release: Scientists say 50, but maybe as high as 100! Headline: [x] could be 100, study says
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FWIW this is how you got headlines saying that we'd definitely have 500k deaths in the UK this year based on the Imperial model when that particular scenario was based on an absolute worst case over 2 years
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Now people just assume that the Imperial team was wrong when really it was just that their worst-case model was misinterpreted - their other models were actually impressively prescient although a touch too optimistic
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