FWIW this is how you got headlines saying that we'd definitely have 500k deaths in the UK this year based on the Imperial model when that particular scenario was based on an absolute worst case over 2 years
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Now people just assume that the Imperial team was wrong when really it was just that their worst-case model was misinterpreted - their other models were actually impressively prescient although a touch too optimistic
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I think we skip straight to the press release nowadays.
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Pretty good summary of 2020. Of course, you could start paper with made up data to capture some of the worst of the year.
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It depends somewhat on the analysis methodology (for some Bayesian methods yes) but broadly speaking not really
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Don't scientists typically have input into what the press release says? That is the my experience working with the media office.
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@jcspencer_unc should we invite them to DS seminar
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