Yes, agreed - that was an inadvertent error (clearly intended to say false positives per the rest of the sentence - and as the critics charged) and I've sent in a correction. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1333509622263545856 …
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Exactly right. Meaning the point Ioannidis was trying to make ("we're overstating IFR") was NOT supported by the data he was using. This study set a maximum on infection rate, but not a minimum: even if nobody was infected, they might have still gotten the results they did.
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No statistician was saying "their study shows nobody is infected"! Statisticians were saying "their study was imprecise and was analyzed poorly, and does not support their conclusions".
End of conversation
New conversation -
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