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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Jeanne Lenzer‏ @JeanneLenzer1 30 Nov 2020

      Jeanne Lenzer Retweeted

      Yes, agreed - that was an inadvertent error (clearly intended to say false positives per the rest of the sentence - and as the critics charged) and I've sent in a correction. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1333509622263545856 …

      Jeanne Lenzer added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 30 Nov 2020
      Replying to @JeanneLenzer1

      That's not the main error. The statistical critique was not saying that there were definitely no cases, it was that correction for the test characteristics would include 0% in the confidence interval. Even if the word negatives is changed to positives it will still be wrong

      12:46 PM - 30 Nov 2020
      • 5 Likes
      • emekdemir 100% Unbiased (like everyone else) Thatcher Ulrich James 'Vax Everywhere' Stevenson, PhD Roby Bhattacharyya
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Roby Bhattacharyya‏ @roby_bhatt 30 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @JeanneLenzer1

          Exactly right. Meaning the point Ioannidis was trying to make ("we're overstating IFR") was NOT supported by the data he was using. This study set a maximum on infection rate, but not a minimum: even if nobody was infected, they might have still gotten the results they did.

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Roby Bhattacharyya‏ @roby_bhatt 30 Nov 2020
          Replying to @roby_bhatt @GidMK @JeanneLenzer1

          No statistician was saying "their study shows nobody is infected"! Statisticians were saying "their study was imprecise and was analyzed poorly, and does not support their conclusions".

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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