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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      10/n But for most of Australia, life was largely back to normal (except for travel) by August! Similarly, India is given a stringency index of 81(!) even though the response there varies quite a bit by states as well

      3 replies 1 retweet 35 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      11/n Which brings us to a more central issue with this entire analysis - the ecological fallacy I've written about this beforehttps://gidmk.medium.com/why-you-might-be-wrong-about-covid-19-the-ecological-fallacy-e8a47a030902 …

      4 replies 6 retweets 50 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      12/n Simply comparing COVID-19 death rates at the national level with some population-level indicators is a pretty pointless thing to do no matter how you do itpic.twitter.com/IKQkpgFZbU

      2 replies 3 retweets 53 likes
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    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      13/n What possible meaning can you garner from the fact that the latitude of the barycenter of some countries correlates with their COVID-19 death toll as of August 31st?

      2 replies 1 retweet 27 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      14/n Even worse, the authors made no attempt to control for the age distribution of those infected in the population, which as we know very well by now is the biggest defining factor in the death rate from COVID-19

      2 replies 3 retweets 51 likes
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    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      15/n Also, the authors note that reverse causality may be an issue when interpreting the correlation between COVID-19 deaths and economic intervention, but don't make this point for the stringency index even though it's probably exactly as problematicpic.twitter.com/HTc3sr4dId

      1 reply 1 retweet 28 likes
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    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      16/n Also, the fact that the authors call this "the least uncertain" data is pretty wild, because a) it isn't and b) the least uncertain sources are TERRIBLE for many countries so WHY USE THEM AT ALL????pic.twitter.com/EaRFI0TcSK

      2 replies 1 retweet 30 likes
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    8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      17/n Ultimately, I cannot see how you can take home anything from this research aside from the fact that some country-level measures recorded years ago correlate well with COVID-19 deaths and some don't

      2 replies 1 retweet 36 likes
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    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020

      18/n I feel like @TylerVigen should create a new version of the Spurious Correlations website with COVID-19 deaths so that people can see just how pointless all of these ecological studies really are

      6 replies 9 retweets 67 likes
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    10. David Steadson  🇦🇺 🇸🇪 🇪🇺 🌍‏ @DavidSteadson 26 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @TylerVigen

      The article is primarily being used by the anti-lockdown crowd and there is pretty much zero details in the paper on *how* they used the Oxford index. The index is a time series! Did they just pick a date? When? I emailed the contact author yesterday for details, no response. yet

      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020
      Replying to @DavidSteadson @TylerVigen

      It appears from what I can see of the data that they used the scores as of the 31st of August

      9:09 PM - 26 Nov 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • David Steadson 🇦🇺🇸🇪🇪🇺🌍
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. David Steadson  🇦🇺 🇸🇪 🇪🇺 🌍‏ @DavidSteadson 26 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @TylerVigen

          which is absurd

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 26 Nov 2020
          Replying to @DavidSteadson @TylerVigen

          No less absurd than using the CIA Factbook, which contains data that is AT BEST 5 years out of date

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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