We won't pick up on any long-term side-effects that only take place after 6-12 months, of course, because of the shorter time frame Still, the trials are pretty amazing
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Worth noting here that when I say "long-term" I really mean "only diagnosed after 6 months". By the time vaccines are rolled out, we'll have at least 6 months of follow-up data so anything that you'd expect to be picked up in that time-frame should show some signal
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The real worry is chronic diseases that take years to be diagnosed, but that's not the same as serious chronic issues that start immediately after vaccination (which is what people often worry about)
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And this sort of problem tends to be incredibly rare in terms of vaccines. I actually can't think off the top of my head of an example, although I'm sure they exist. Anyone?
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It's very reassuring indeed, that there are no adverse effects IN THIS TIME FRAME of 3-6 months. Mos vaccine trials are done over years in part in order to follow participants over years!
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Yep. But what about possible long term side effects? Size do not solve them.
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Was just writing the second tweet that said this
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Great point. Speed in reporting results is also in part due to rampant Covid-19 community transmission in trial locations
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I wonder how many adverse reactions you would expect as a background rate naturally say per 10K or whatever is a resonable denominator?
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Do you mean adverse events or adverse reactions?
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