The authors used the now-famous Excel spreadsheet stuff-up to perform a quasi-experimental analysis of whether places where no contacts were traced had higher levels of infections They didpic.twitter.com/tgPmLJbGEf
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The authors used the now-famous Excel spreadsheet stuff-up to perform a quasi-experimental analysis of whether places where no contacts were traced had higher levels of infections They didpic.twitter.com/tgPmLJbGEf
The estimates imply that, for every case that was not traced, there were an additional 25 cases down the trackpic.twitter.com/46nJLy9Syc
And hats off to the authors for being so beautifully careful about their estimates. Yes, it's possible that a lack of contact-tracing lead to a 120k infections, but it is a very uncertain point estimate!pic.twitter.com/T4G39HkTtK
What we can be fairly certain about from this paper, however, is that testing/contact tracing/isolation probably prevents cases in the future
great find and reassuring for the 10,000s of contact tracers doing this tireless work
It works but we can't do tracing in the states. We have let so many robo and bullshit calls through not enough people will answer/help if they pick up. Nobody trusts who is on the other end of the line. I don't.
We can and we should. We'll figure it out.
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