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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      1 billion people already infected is a ludicrously high estimate, where did you see that figure?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    2. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I was referring to by the time mass vaccinations are deployed to help crush covid worldwide / eventual natural infections I read someone at the WHO said 10% of the world was infected already and that was more than a month ago Hundreds of millions in India alone

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      The WHO said that "well below 10%" were infected, and it is very unlikely that hundreds of millions have been infected in India alone. You are simply parroting myths here

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      That’s just simply false and if you don’t think more than 100 million in India have been infected then you’re not looking at enough datahttps://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-archive-united-nations-54a3a5869c9ae4ee623497691e796083 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      Health Nerd Retweeted Marc Bevand

      Yes that's simply bad reporting https://twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1314160523613593600?s=20 … And given the fatality rate and age breakdown, it's very unlikely that more than 100mil have been infected. Nearly 100mil perhaps

      Health Nerd added,

      Marc Bevand @zorinaq
      The media claimed "about 10% of the global population may have been infected by the coronavirus"—eg. https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/10/05/920453483/10-of-global-population-may-have-contracted-the-coronavirus-who-says … I investigated the claim. It's false. Bad reporting In reality "LESS than 10%" & in many situations it's "WELL UNDER 10%" of the general population 1/n
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Nopic.twitter.com/rKXmZdldu2

      2 replies 1 retweet 1 like
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      You can literally listen to the full interviews yourself rather that trusting the words of the anonymous account "Free Beer". It's very clear that the total global infection rate was not 10% at that point however you slice it

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Eli Klein Retweeted NowThis

      I did, please listen to it too. This number is based on real data not just a hunch.https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1313610737802240001 …

      Eli Klein added,

      0:37
      NowThisVerified account @nowthisnews
      WHO's top emergency expert Mike Ryan now estimates that 10% of the global population has been exposed to the coronavirus pic.twitter.com/O2BQTiwumG
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      Spoiler: it's not. The problem with using vague, off the cuff statements from officials rather than actual numbers is that you are usually going to be wrong

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Here’s The Economist’s review of 279 serology studies worldwide, estimating there were 630M infections globally in Sept, 2020 Point being that my 1 billion number referring to a rough ballpark of how many will be naturally infected by Covid isn’t some crazy impossibilitypic.twitter.com/P7RhUkTCih

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
      Replying to @TheEliKlein

      I've read a similar number of studies myself, and I suspect that number is very high. Looks like they've included non-representative samples in the equation, which creates a lot of bias

      7:41 PM - 23 Nov 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Marc Bevand
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 23 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @TheEliKlein

          Oh no sorry, it's some sort of complex model. Would have to dig into the methodology to see why it's outputting such high figures. That being said, 630mil is only 8% of the world's population, not 10%

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Eli Klein‏ @TheEliKlein 23 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Yeah I know, thing is 1 billion isn’t going to be some far fetched impossible theory. Especially is anywhere near 600m have already been infected. So that was my original point. I doubt that economist model took seroprevalence underestimating infections into account as well

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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