If the U.S. maintains current infections (~200k/day) of COVID-19, and assuming about 17% of the country has already been infected, it will be about a year before the country reaches herd immunity Compare that to vaccine rollout schedules
-
-
Oh of course. I just was wondering about your estimate. Some people think it’s literally 10x.
-
It probably was in March, not so much now
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
U could take daily deaths/IFR to be the actual number of cases 22 days ago. Assume ratio of actual to detected cases is unchanged over that period to estimate daily cases today. Also,
#cases staying constant is the least likely thing to happen, which of course, u know already.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.