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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Nov 2020

      One thing I'm finding increasingly interesting is how many people will argue that lockdowns kill without citing any evidence at all that this is the case

      32 replies 70 retweets 507 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Nov 2020

      This isn't me saying that lockdowns are totally safe, but if they are as huge a public health problem as people claim this should be trivial to demonstrate

      9 replies 10 retweets 157 likes
      Show this thread
    3. cbergenholtz‏ @justsomeoneDK 14 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I found this discussion about the effect of closing schools interesting and nuanced: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/school-wasnt-so-great-before-covid-either/616923/ … This article claims a large indirect effect but of course rests on a lot of strong assumptions https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2772834 … (I can't assess the validity of them)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Jacob Gudiol‏Verified account @JacobGudiol 14 Nov 2020
      Replying to @justsomeoneDK @GidMK

      Yeah, i thought of this to when I read the tweet from @GidMK Schoolclosure is a clear effect from lockdowns. They will impact the kids education (a lot more in some countries) and that will very likely impact expected income and years of life

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Nov 2020
      Replying to @JacobGudiol @justsomeoneDK

      So that's certainly a long-term effect that may occur, and we should be concerned about, but it's not on the order of the immediate catastrophe that has been constantly suggested without much evidence

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Jens F.‏ @PelikansSill 15 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @JacobGudiol @justsomeoneDK

      What do you mean by 'not on the order of immediate catastrophe'? With 2.5M YLL due to COVID and 5.3M YLL due to school closures (very rough estimates) one could definitely argue that school closures alone is a bigger catastrophy than COVID.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Nov 2020
      Replying to @PelikansSill @JacobGudiol @justsomeoneDK

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      That number does not mean a great dealhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1327872367893176320?s=19 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Ok, so I've had a read of this paper (which has been all over the news) that says quite explicitly that closing schools will probably cause more years of life lost than leaving them open in a pandemic Let's do some peer-review on twitter! 1/n https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1327791987014074369 … pic.twitter.com/ZxjMUXem5y
      Show this thread
      2:30 AM - 15 Nov 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Keeper ↯ 🔴 Margaret Thornton, Ph.D. (she/her/hers)
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. cbergenholtz‏ @justsomeoneDK 15 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @PelikansSill @JacobGudiol

          I think 2 things can be true at once: a) there is no evidence showing immediate disasters of lockdown. b) In the future econometric methods will be able to show lockdown's substantial impact on kids education/future (as Zeynep has claimed as well)

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Nov 2020
          Replying to @justsomeoneDK @PelikansSill @JacobGudiol

          I think that is probably true, but I think the number that has been proposed thus far is a bit meaningless

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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