One thing I'm finding increasingly interesting is how many people will argue that lockdowns kill without citing any evidence at all that this is the case
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As an example of this, many people will still assert that lockdowns are causing a huge wave of suicides, despite this not being the case in most places that have investigated the question
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Please read this
@GidMK very good analyshttps://twitter.com/BakuninsT/status/1309639276469145608 …
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I’ve been trying to correct the whole “suicides are up 200%” meme going round. It seems people are very very keen to believe that lockdowns kill. No matter what the evidence actually shows.
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I found this discussion about the effect of closing schools interesting and nuanced: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/school-wasnt-so-great-before-covid-either/616923/ … This article claims a large indirect effect but of course rests on a lot of strong assumptions https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2772834 … (I can't assess the validity of them)
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Yeah, i thought of this to when I read the tweet from
@GidMK Schoolclosure is a clear effect from lockdowns. They will impact the kids education (a lot more in some countries) and that will very likely impact expected income and years of life - Show replies
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“As huge as people claim” is doing a lot of heavy lifting but estimating the true cost of lockdown is both trivially easy and impossibly difficult. So I disagree with this claim although we probably agree in spirit.
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Yes, this is what the Ioannidis et al crowd have been fanning and feeding entire time. Prospect of nebulous "consequences" of policies. Facebook crowd immediately raised drug abuse, domestic abuse, and suicide exacerbation to eerily equal levels in lockdown to any COVID deaths
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Could it be possible though that some effects (e.g., missed cancer screenings) would only show up in a few years (~5/10 years)? I guess some of these could also happen if we take the opposite approach and let the virus run through the population though?
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