Casedemic, actually. I believe our PCR thresholds are incredibly high, and deaths per day in Ontario are .11 per 100,000 with 60%+ in LTC while society is in ruin.
Quickly eyeballing, looks like it's gone up by ~20% in that time. The reporting lag would also include the 29/30th, and symptom reporting is not a perfect measure. Would be more useful to look at day of death than day of reported symptoms
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Agree date of death vs. report would tell better story (date of death not published in daily CSV). Anyway, thanks for the debate and we can leave it there. My prediction is that natural herd immunity is nigh; heterogeneity was not included in epi models, and we see this soon.
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Look, again that is a statement that makes no sense whatsoever. If cases are increasing, herd immunity by definition cannot be "nigh". I honestly think you should look up some of this terminology before throwing it around - read an epi textbook!
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