The first statement is total nonsense. Canada is, I believe, currently experiencing a massive epidemic. As to the second - quite interesting. I imagine that will increase now given the vast number of cases now, which is quite sad
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Casedemic, actually. I believe our PCR thresholds are incredibly high, and deaths per day in Ontario are .11 per 100,000 with 60%+ in LTC while society is in ruin.
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The 'casedemic' idea is a myth spread by people who have absolutely no idea what they're talking abouthttps://coronavirus.medium.com/an-epidemiologist-on-what-to-expect-from-a-covid-19-vaccine-c727f4bf32dc …
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Replying to @GidMK @rubiconcapital_ and
Oh, apologies, wrong piece. Here's the correct one on the 'casedemic' nonsensehttps://gidmk.medium.com/there-is-no-casedemic-c6b0ba8b9fec …
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I don't care what the PCR test is turning over. Ontario, a province of 13.5m people, is experiencing what looks like a plateau of 15 covid deaths per day, 10 of which are non-community LTC.
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This is the deaths from Ontario public health. Ignoring the reporting lags, there is a pretty clear exponential increase there. I suspect if you averaged the weekly increase even with the reporting lag it would be an exponential functionpic.twitter.com/m4NMhysfSS
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I see a epidemic Gompertz curve and a hump topping off our herd immunity prior to going seasonally endemic. If you see something else (even with reporting lags) the I want whatever you're smoking !
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I say this without malice - you have absolutely no clue whatsoever what you are talking about. You are misusing every term you have used there, it is a garbled sentence that literally doesn't make sense
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I am intimately familiar with the chart you posted. Here is the 7-day trailing average of deaths by original symptom/episode date vs. the death reported date. Do you see it?pic.twitter.com/MTVSO9byKq
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Replying to @rubiconcapital_
...the clear reporting lag? Yes, that's officially stated by the public health authority I believe. It's like the Sweden figures - every fool makes a graph and points out that deaths are falling once a week because they don't report deaths within 14 days well
2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
Anyway, this is getting a bit pointless. If I were to start talking gobbledygook about investments, I imagine you would (rightly) laugh at my ignorance. That is what you sound like to epidemiologists right now 
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Replying to @GidMK @rubiconcapital_
@GidMK I had a similar back-&-forth w/ yet another economist who fancied himself an epidemiological modeller! It ended w/ him accusing me of attacking his masculinity & whiteness!
Yours seem to have ended more civilly! Then again women get gaslighted more aggressively!2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes -
Replying to @DeNovo_Fatima @GidMK
Kelly Brown Retweeted Kelly Brown
I definitely like seeing race/gender/identity kept out of medical science and in social science where it belongs. Unlike one of Ontario's COVID health table bureaucrats:https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1323466254565445632?s=20 …
Kelly Brown added,
Kelly Brown @rubiconcapital_1/ November 2019, Arjumand Siddiqi, Division Head of Epidemiology at UofT School of Public Health published a research article examining the troubling rise in mortality rates in whites in the USA over the last 20-30 years. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/337424310_Growing_sense_of_social_status_threat_and_concomitant_deaths_of_despair_among_whites …Show this thread0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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