Should be noted that this is completely unsurprising. Based on serology, we KNEW that existing immunity would probably not significantly blunt a second wave in Sweden
https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1326773773060759552 …
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It looks like Sweden is over a month behind based on the dates of divergence here?pic.twitter.com/t1OznwhcVh
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https://adamaltmejd.se/covid/ The reporting of deaths in Sweden lags significantly. Consequently, if you look at data based upon deaths reported by date, Sweden perpetually appears to have a falling trend.
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It’s also an interesting take cause multiple staff from the hospital here in Uppsala have been saying it’s as bad as it worse than spring already. It’s just one region but it was the first to really take off with cases, I don’t see why other regions wouldn’t follow
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Also, with an exponential growths pattern, does it really matter if the ratio of ICU admittance and deaths is lower by a factor below an order of magnitude? Would that not just mean that you run out of capacity 2 weeks later than if it was the same ratio as in the spring?
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