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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Nov 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Mike Bird

      Should be noted that this is completely unsurprising. Based on serology, we KNEW that existing immunity would probably not significantly blunt a second wave in Sweden 😕https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1326773773060759552 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Mike BirdVerified account @Birdyword
      Swedish state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell asked people not to judge the country until the Autumn, when raised immunity levels would mute a second wave. Autumn is here, and Swedish Covid-19 hospitalisations are rising more rapidly than anywhere in Europe. https://amp.ft.com/content/1e0ac31d-5abf-4a18-ab3e-eec9744a4d31?__twitter_impression=true …
      Show this thread
      6 replies 44 retweets 181 likes
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    2. This Tweet is unavailable.
    3. Andreas Thorstensson‏Verified account @andreas 11 Nov 2020

      What do you predict it will look like in three weeks though? Hospitalization lag cases.

      0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Nov 2020

      Yes but this is true of most countries. The denominator has completely changed since March. That being said, if it is true that areas have reached their max testing capacity, you would expect the ratio of cases:ICU to start increasing shortly

      10:53 PM - 11 Nov 2020
      • 4 Likes
      • Johnny Rhee🔴 Philippe Weitz noa-witheringly SKI-UR-ASS
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Frank‏ @realMrFrank 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @RebeccaChandle1 and

          It looks like Sweden is over a month behind based on the dates of divergence here?pic.twitter.com/t1OznwhcVh

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3.  🌱 Jens-Petter Salvesen  🌍‏ @jpsalvesen 12 Nov 2020
          Replying to @realMrFrank @GidMK and

          https://adamaltmejd.se/covid/  The reporting of deaths in Sweden lags significantly. Consequently, if you look at data based upon deaths reported by date, Sweden perpetually appears to have a falling trend.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr Julie Blommaert  👩🏼‍🔬‏ @drjulie_b 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @RebeccaChandle1 and

          It’s also an interesting take cause multiple staff from the hospital here in Uppsala have been saying it’s as bad as it worse than spring already. It’s just one region but it was the first to really take off with cases, I don’t see why other regions wouldn’t follow

          1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
        3. Philippe Weitz‏ @PhilippeWeitz 12 Nov 2020
          Replying to @drjulie_b @GidMK and

          Also, with an exponential growths pattern, does it really matter if the ratio of ICU admittance and deaths is lower by a factor below an order of magnitude? Would that not just mean that you run out of capacity 2 weeks later than if it was the same ratio as in the spring?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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