I don’t remember seeing the Imperial model for this.https://www.bbc.com/news/education-54827702 …
This is literally just simple multiplication of the figures in these articles, and extrapolating to the per 100,000 number using children under 2 in the UK in 2019
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Also, given the number of children in the UK, a 20% increase across the board would be an absolute increase from 240 incidents to 300, or roughly 1 extra incident per million children in the country
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That seems like a large increase. Is your issue with the word “huge”? Fair enough, let’s just call it a large increase.
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