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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Christopher Snowdon‏Verified account @cjsnowdon 6 Nov 2020

      I don’t remember seeing the Imperial model for this.https://www.bbc.com/news/education-54827702 …

      10 replies 34 retweets 212 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @cjsnowdon

      Wow that's a misleading headline. A 'huge' rise of 20% which equates to 10 cases and maybe 1 death? In the whole country across months?

      4 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Christopher Snowdon‏Verified account @cjsnowdon 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I think the 20% rise refers to the injuries and deaths of children, of which there were over 300 in the 2020 period.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @cjsnowdon

      The first sentence "there was a 20% rise" Second paragraph says that this equates to 64 incidents. So roughly up from 52 to 64. Not exactly a huge increase!

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Christopher Snowdon‏Verified account @cjsnowdon 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      This article makes it clearer which figure it’s referring to.https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/coronavirus-lockdown-babies-killed-england-b1640952.html …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @cjsnowdon

      Those are the same figures - 300 incidents involving children, 64 of which (40%) were babies, a 20% increase from last year. So numerically about 10 more incidents

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Christopher Snowdon‏Verified account @cjsnowdon 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      A difference of at least 50 overall.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @cjsnowdon

      Not for babies, unless both of these articles are misrepresenting the figures. 300 events in children, but the only increase cited was in babies, where the number of events has gone from about 2.5 cases per 100,000 to 3

      4:11 PM - 6 Nov 2020
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @cjsnowdon

          This is literally just simple multiplication of the figures in these articles, and extrapolating to the per 100,000 number using children under 2 in the UK in 2019

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @cjsnowdon

          Also, given the number of children in the UK, a 20% increase across the board would be an absolute increase from 240 incidents to 300, or roughly 1 extra incident per million children in the country

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Christopher Snowdon‏Verified account @cjsnowdon 6 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          That’s alright then

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
          Replying to @cjsnowdon

          Well, if those figures are accurate then COVID in the UK has been more than SIX TIMES as deadly as lockdowns to children That statement is misleading too, but similarly factual 🤷‍♂️

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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