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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 5 Nov 2020

      THE COVID-19 TREND (roughly): Cases 📈 *1-2 weeks* Hospitalizations📈 *2-3 weeks* Deaths📈 The whole "casedemic" thing is absolute nonsense

      2 replies 18 retweets 76 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dave Bechek‏ @dbechek1 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      But hospitalizations and deaths have an extremely lower slope than the cases. Extremely lower- like orders of magnitude less - to the point of questioning excessive mediation costs

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Gregory Travis‏ @greg_travis 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @dbechek1 @GidMK

      All else being equal, the slope of deaths is 1/100th that of cases (1% IFR). So two orders of magnitude less deaths than cases But not sure why matters given our current case numbers. COVID is #1 killer in much of W. Europe and all of USA

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Dave Bechek‏ @dbechek1 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @greg_travis @GidMK

      It matters because we have to weigh lockdown costs and effectiveness vs actual harm/death by virus

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Gregory Travis‏ @greg_travis 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @dbechek1 @GidMK

      Lockdown costs have so far been totally unquantified by those who insist they are significant and separate from the costs of the pandemic. Meanwhile deaths from COVID are accurately quantified. It’s the number one killer in the USA

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Nov 2020
      Replying to @greg_travis @dbechek1

      Not really true. The IMF, for example, has a detailed analysis of thishttps://gidmk.medium.com/are-covid-19-lockdowns-worth-it-5b0bc0fd994a …

      1:52 PM - 6 Nov 2020
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      • kenlipartito
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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