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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 4 Nov 2020

    Health Nerd Retweeted Florian Krammer

    Interesting - it appears that antibodies stay stable for at least 3-4 months after COVID-19 infection, although recent English data suggests they start to fall at the 6-8 month markhttps://twitter.com/florian_krammer/status/1323588045124313088 …

    Health Nerd added,

    Florian KrammerVerified account @florian_krammer
    Our NYC serosurvey paper is now out in Nature: 1) if extrapolated to the NYC population we found>1.7 million infected and IFR at 0.97 2) earlier introduction of the virus into city than officially detected 3) seroprevalence AND titers are stable so far https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2912-6 …
    Show this thread
    10:57 AM - 4 Nov 2020
    • 16 Retweets
    • 57 Likes
    • Bruce Tabor Thatcher Ulrich Loretta Torrago transplantrockstar Covid19SupportGrpSA Johnny Rhee🔴 (((kath2cats))) Nigel Kinbrum Steve Pye
    6 replies 16 retweets 57 likes
      1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 4 Nov 2020

        This is in line with what @MackayIM and others have been saying for a long time, which means that (shocker) the experts may have known what they were talking about

        1 reply 0 retweets 14 likes
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      1. John  💙  🇬🇧‏ @UK_Centrist 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Any ideas what's happening there then?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Re: "Interesting - it appears that antibodies stay stable for at least 3-4 months after COVID-19 infection, although recent English data suggests they start to fall at the 6-8 month mark" Expected by about >7 months. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1316762045862346758 … https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1083-1 …pic.twitter.com/ujTACsuv5y

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @AtomsksSanakan @GidMK

        "Our results indicate that New York’s mortality figures are incompatible with immunity lasting anything below 105 or above 211 days (90% CI.)" https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.22.20160028v2.full.pdf … https://twitter.com/SCOTTeHENSLEY/status/1285626936325279748 … https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2767208 …pic.twitter.com/OOGhG4j2Cr

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Emphasising that "at least" bit. Still look fairly steady at that mark - the end of the study period? Or am I misreading?

        1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @MackayIM

        Nope, that's what they found I think. The 6-8 months comes from REACT data in Sept/Oct, although they didn't follow individuals longitudinally which may have biased the results

        1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Michalis12‏ @_michalis12 4 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        IFR of 0.97%... when do you think Ioannidis and his team will change tack? They started from 0.14%, up to 0.25% atm. At some point the data is going to catch up with them. Or do you think that 0.25% is possible in the long run?

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