This is in line with what @MackayIM and others have been saying for a long time, which means that (shocker) the experts may have known what they were talking about
-
-
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Any ideas what's happening there then?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Re: "Interesting - it appears that antibodies stay stable for at least 3-4 months after COVID-19 infection, although recent English data suggests they start to fall at the 6-8 month mark" Expected by about >7 months. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1316762045862346758 … https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1083-1 …pic.twitter.com/ujTACsuv5y
-
"Our results indicate that New York’s mortality figures are incompatible with immunity lasting anything below 105 or above 211 days (90% CI.)" https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.22.20160028v2.full.pdf … https://twitter.com/SCOTTeHENSLEY/status/1285626936325279748 … https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2767208 …pic.twitter.com/OOGhG4j2Cr
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Emphasising that "at least" bit. Still look fairly steady at that mark - the end of the study period? Or am I misreading?
-
Nope, that's what they found I think. The 6-8 months comes from REACT data in Sept/Oct, although they didn't follow individuals longitudinally which may have biased the results
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
IFR of 0.97%... when do you think Ioannidis and his team will change tack? They started from 0.14%, up to 0.25% atm. At some point the data is going to catch up with them. Or do you think that 0.25% is possible in the long run?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
Show additional replies, including those that may contain offensive content
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.