This remains mathematically impossible, and really just one of the silliest myths to come out of the pandemic https://t.co/Bx1IogGytQ
This isn't some crazy conspiracy, it's simply maths. If the false positive rate was higher than 0.08%, the ONS results could not have happened
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We see similar numbers in Australia. In NSW, we tested 600,000 people in October, with about 230 positives. If we assume that every positive is a false positive, that gives a false positive rate of 0.04%
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But we actually retest most people in NSW, because a positive test has serious consequences for businesses here. And in those 230 tests, only one was a false positive on the second test. So the actual false positive rate is closer to one in a million, or 0.0001%
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Any idea why you're certain of the maximum false positive rate but when Whitty and Valance where brought to the select committee today they had absolutely no idea what rate it could be. If it was a simple maths, surely they would have quoted this. They didn't, because it's not
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He’s certain, by observing the data from low prevalence locations. He & I live in one False positive very rare, maybe 1 in ~50-100k We just had one reported today (false positive later excluded) to keep you guys happy. It’s the first in about 6 weeks
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