Partly, this is because cases don't have a big reporting lag but deaths do - because certifying an infection takes very little effort but certifying a death takes quite a lot more
-
-
Show this thread
-
Add to this the fact that the MEDIAN time from infection to death for COVID-19 is 3 weeks, and you get a 5+ week lag from when cases first start to rise to when deaths do (in many cases, not all)
Show this thread -
This is, of course, subject to testing. We saw a very different pattern in March/April, because people could only access tests when they presented to hospital. This reduced the lag by at least a week or two!
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Cases down, peak weeks ago. Hospital capacity same as last 5 years, discharges up, R down to 1, Whitty admitted he lied about projections earlier.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Our leaders suggested we follow Belgium less than 4 weeks ago. This shows how quickly things can turn. Asymptomatic doctors & nurses are working the C19 wards.https://www.dw.com/en/belgiums-covid-19-health-care-collapse-it-will-happen-in-10-days/a-55451750 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
This antivaccine activist is on his version 4.0 of claiming the pandemic is over. Yes, he has predicted an end three times already. https://jbhandleyblog.com/home/lockdownlunacyfour … via @ jb_Handley
-
As the saying goes, "4th times a charm".
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
2:45 to first closed polls, I think. And you’re up already
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Or, 6-8 weeks later: "They are dying WITH Covid, not OF Covid"....
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.