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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      It is perfectly reasonable to describe negative consequences of govt action like lockdowns, however it is totally nonsensical to compare this to life as normal when in reality the alternative is an out of control epidemic

      16 replies 300 retweets 1,248 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      If you pretend, in the face of all evidence, that there are no negative economic and social outcomes that can be attributed to a massive rise in COVID-19 cases, then you are just being intellectually dishonest

      7 replies 67 retweets 371 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      Moreover, I think there's a matter of scale that people don't really understand - despite the enormous ongoing epidemic in the United States, it's unlikely that more than 20% of the country has been infected with COVID-19 The epidemic could still take months/years to resolve!

      5 replies 21 retweets 188 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      In England, the Office for National Statistics estimated recently that just over 1% of the country was infected with COVID-19 over the course of a week, meaning that it could take over a year of this level of economic disruption to get back to anything approaching normal 😕

      9:22 PM - 31 Oct 2020
      • 12 Retweets
      • 120 Likes
      • Peter Johnson 𝙷𝙰𝙳𝙹 𝙳𝙰𝙷𝙾𝚄 מאיר רובין Meir Rubin BC Think Tank 🤔: Democide Surveillance Chapter Tilo Stephen Berry AngelaM 👽📻🐙 Luca Kaufmann possum.
      4 replies 12 retweets 120 likes
        1. Will Mackey‏ @wfmackey 31 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          The duration of any sort of “herd immunity” strategy — especially with a consideration for not overwhelming a country’s healthcare system — is really under-appreciated!

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Michael Edwards.‏ @MichaelPaulEdw1 31 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Basically all the things I said like 6 months ago. You have to compare economic and death consequences in both paths to each other. A key thing people also seem to miss open or not economic systems don't recover when people are scared to shop.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Covid19SupportGrpSA‏ @CovidSupportSA 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          @threadreaderapp pls unroll

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Thread Reader App‏ @threadreaderapp 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @CovidSupportSA

          Hi! the unroll you asked for: @GidMK: It is perfectly reasonable to describe negative consequences of govt action like lockdowns, however it is… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1322754228293562368.html … Share this if you think it's interesting. 🤖

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
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        2. Joe Flaherty‏ @joef_3 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @ProcessNamed @GidMK

          The faster it goes, the more likely the medical system gets completely overwhelmed and the fatality rate climbs like crazy. Everywhere looks like the hardest hit places, like northern Italy in March and NYC in Italy. The best thing to do is whatever it takes to limit the spread.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. John Parkes‏ @DrJohnParkes 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Were probably between 12-20% exposure depending upon the area, London nearer the 20% but yes not too dissimilar to the USA.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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