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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      It is perfectly reasonable to describe negative consequences of govt action like lockdowns, however it is totally nonsensical to compare this to life as normal when in reality the alternative is an out of control epidemic

      16 replies 300 retweets 1,247 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      If you pretend, in the face of all evidence, that there are no negative economic and social outcomes that can be attributed to a massive rise in COVID-19 cases, then you are just being intellectually dishonest

      7 replies 67 retweets 371 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

      Moreover, I think there's a matter of scale that people don't really understand - despite the enormous ongoing epidemic in the United States, it's unlikely that more than 20% of the country has been infected with COVID-19 The epidemic could still take months/years to resolve!

      9:19 PM - 31 Oct 2020
      • 21 Retweets
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      • Peter Johnson 𝙷𝙰𝙳𝙹 𝙳𝙰𝙷𝙾𝚄 מאיר רובין Meir Rubin BC Think Tank 🤔: Democide Surveillance Chapter Keely Weiss Lina Tereshkova 💉💉🌹 #zeroCovid #ImpfeFürAlle Tilo hbd chick Stephen Berry
      5 replies 21 retweets 188 likes
        1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

          In England, the Office for National Statistics estimated recently that just over 1% of the country was infected with COVID-19 over the course of a week, meaning that it could take over a year of this level of economic disruption to get back to anything approaching normal 😕

          4 replies 12 retweets 120 likes
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        2. TubunMuzuru‏ @TubunMuzuru 31 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          1/ Correct in every respect. True story. My mother spotted a case of smallpox in Niger Republic, I think this was 62 or 63. My parents notification went clear back to the USA, a cold chain was established, my father sent out runners to every village, warning people -

          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
        3. TubunMuzuru‏ @TubunMuzuru 31 Oct 2020
          Replying to @TubunMuzuru @GidMK

          2/ - oh they knew what smallpox was, they had a word for it. For weeks, we bumped along in our Jeep, going from village to village, inoculating everyone. That epidemic was stopped because it was spotted early. A warning network was established early.

          1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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        1.  💧BlotReport AZx2‏ @BlotReport 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @daveyk317

          The Spanish Flu pandemic lasted almost 3 years and killed about 50 million people.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Auchtomonkey‏ @Watertankkitty 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Officially only about 10 million infected in USA out of 230 million. Even at 100,000 a day, it would still take over 6 years to infect everyone. In reality, it will be about a year, because not everyone will be tested & this is rolling problem as antibodies are short term.

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        2. Will‏ @wpgwill 1 Nov 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          The Spanish flu took two waves to resolve itself. That’s still with various NPI. Why would covid take more than that to resolve? Some places are now getting their first wave after suppression in the spring. Covid will likely be over by next spring in the states.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Miauzelot‏ @Miauzelot 2 Nov 2020
          Replying to @wpgwill @GidMK

          There were 3 waves, about 1/3 of the world population got infected and 50 million deaths. That's why it was faster

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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