It is perfectly reasonable to describe negative consequences of govt action like lockdowns, however it is totally nonsensical to compare this to life as normal when in reality the alternative is an out of control epidemic
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In England, the Office for National Statistics estimated recently that just over 1% of the country was infected with COVID-19 over the course of a week, meaning that it could take over a year of this level of economic disruption to get back to anything approaching normal
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1/ Correct in every respect. True story. My mother spotted a case of smallpox in Niger Republic, I think this was 62 or 63. My parents notification went clear back to the USA, a cold chain was established, my father sent out runners to every village, warning people -
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2/ - oh they knew what smallpox was, they had a word for it. For weeks, we bumped along in our Jeep, going from village to village, inoculating everyone. That epidemic was stopped because it was spotted early. A warning network was established early.
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The Spanish Flu pandemic lasted almost 3 years and killed about 50 million people.
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Officially only about 10 million infected in USA out of 230 million. Even at 100,000 a day, it would still take over 6 years to infect everyone. In reality, it will be about a year, because not everyone will be tested & this is rolling problem as antibodies are short term.
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The Spanish flu took two waves to resolve itself. That’s still with various NPI. Why would covid take more than that to resolve? Some places are now getting their first wave after suppression in the spring. Covid will likely be over by next spring in the states.
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There were 3 waves, about 1/3 of the world population got infected and 50 million deaths. That's why it was faster
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