If you pretend, in the face of all evidence, that there are no negative economic and social outcomes that can be attributed to a massive rise in COVID-19 cases, then you are just being intellectually dishonest
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Moreover, I think there's a matter of scale that people don't really understand - despite the enormous ongoing epidemic in the United States, it's unlikely that more than 20% of the country has been infected with COVID-19 The epidemic could still take months/years to resolve!
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In England, the Office for National Statistics estimated recently that just over 1% of the country was infected with COVID-19 over the course of a week, meaning that it could take over a year of this level of economic disruption to get back to anything approaching normal
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I'm very interested in this definition of North that excludes East Asia, and South that excludes South America.
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The counterfactual is not 'normal life'. The counterfactual is the health, social and economic damage of an epidemic out of control
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I find it horrifying how few educated people, including scientists, including public health/epidemiology experts, seem to apply the appropriate counter factual. Why do you think that is, Neil?
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Probably ok to criticise big economies if they didn’t develop an adequate test and trace system in the first lockdown though right? Like South Korea developed... oh that’s right South Korea didn’t need a lockdown because they had an adequate test and trace system.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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NOT possible to have "out of control epidemic" with numbers susceptible that remain. But they lock down, so that when the drop off occurs the accolades for it will go to the implementation of lockdown when in reality the growth in cases is already slowinghttps://twitter.com/NewMumOnline/status/1322512343411134464 …
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I really wish this were true, but there is no evidence for it and plenty against.
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