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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

    It is perfectly reasonable to describe negative consequences of govt action like lockdowns, however it is totally nonsensical to compare this to life as normal when in reality the alternative is an out of control epidemic

    9:15 PM - 31 Oct 2020
    • 300 Retweets
    • 1,247 Likes
    • Anne Estee Duncan Drasdo Paul Larudee KIEULL+ Rachel Pancho Birthe Hucke Alejandro Sánchez Dr. Gerrit Hansen
    16 replies 300 retweets 1,247 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

        If you pretend, in the face of all evidence, that there are no negative economic and social outcomes that can be attributed to a massive rise in COVID-19 cases, then you are just being intellectually dishonest

        7 replies 67 retweets 371 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

        Moreover, I think there's a matter of scale that people don't really understand - despite the enormous ongoing epidemic in the United States, it's unlikely that more than 20% of the country has been infected with COVID-19 The epidemic could still take months/years to resolve!

        5 replies 21 retweets 188 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Oct 2020

        In England, the Office for National Statistics estimated recently that just over 1% of the country was infected with COVID-19 over the course of a week, meaning that it could take over a year of this level of economic disruption to get back to anything approaching normal 😕

        4 replies 12 retweets 120 likes
        Show this thread
      5. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Liam‏ @thinkinreverse 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @ShortGoesLong @GidMK @fascinatorfun

        I'm very interested in this definition of North that excludes East Asia, and South that excludes South America.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Neil Pearce‏ @neilpearce53x 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @shell_ki

        The counterfactual is not 'normal life'. The counterfactual is the health, social and economic damage of an epidemic out of control

        1 reply 5 retweets 33 likes
      3. Dr Luisa Zuccolo  💙‏ @Luisa_Zu 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @neilpearce53x @GidMK @shell_ki

        I find it horrifying how few educated people, including scientists, including public health/epidemiology experts, seem to apply the appropriate counter factual. Why do you think that is, Neil?

        4 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Andrew‏ @esunachimba 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Probably ok to criticise big economies if they didn’t develop an adequate test and trace system in the first lockdown though right? Like South Korea developed... oh that’s right South Korea didn’t need a lockdown because they had an adequate test and trace system.

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Liska  🌸‏ @NewMumOnline 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @broonstunes

        Liska  🌸 Retweeted Liska  🌸

        NOT possible to have "out of control epidemic" with numbers susceptible that remain. But they lock down, so that when the drop off occurs the accolades for it will go to the implementation of lockdown when in reality the growth in cases is already slowinghttps://twitter.com/NewMumOnline/status/1322512343411134464 …

        Liska  🌸 added,

        Liska  🌸 @NewMumOnline
        SAGE's 3 wrong assumptions 1. Most UK vulnerable to Covid. In UK at least 4 coronaviruses (OC43, HKU1, NL63, 229E) which cause common cold. Many individuals who’ve been infected by other coronaviruses have immunity to closely related ones such as Covid-19 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8899053/DR-MIKE-YEADON-Three-facts-No-10s-experts-got-wrong.html …
        Show this thread
        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Dr Rick‏ @rfbooth 1 Nov 2020
        Replying to @NewMumOnline @GidMK @broonstunes

        I really wish this were true, but there is no evidence for it and plenty against.

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. Show replies

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