You have to wonder at what point all of the people proudly proclaiming over the last 4 months that Sweden is at herd immunity will admit that they were wronghttps://twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1321806754716426240 …
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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Health Nerd Retweeted Marc Bevand
You have to wonder at what point all of the people proudly proclaiming over the last 4 months that Sweden is at herd immunity will admit that they were wronghttps://twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1321806754716426240 …
Health Nerd added,
Should be noted for the people who misunderstand - herd immunity is about CASES. By definition, if you have a massive epidemic, the population is not at herd immunity
While essentially true, I think that misses an extremely important point about interindividual variation in susceptibility. If the most susceptible people are hit first, then the severity should go down and down as herd immunity is reached, even before the cases do.
That's not entirety untrue, but the central point is that the accelerating outbreaks are still inconsistent with herd immunity
Very inconsistent with having reached it already, agreed.
Though I haven’t studied Sweden and am not sure what the data quality is like. I do think there’s a potential problem everywhere of shifting definitions of “case.”
Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
To an extent I agree but I think it is mostly to do with changes in testing rather than case definitions per sehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1321661890301366272?s=19 …
Health Nerd added,
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