Thread. Call me an old softy if you like, but the most important part is “that's without taking account of other harms done by the lockdown to people's welfare.”https://twitter.com/julianHjessop/status/1321929510275735554 …
In many ways, waiting a long time for a lockdown gives you the worst of both worlds economically - the smallest impact in terms of reducing cases, but the largest and longest lived impact on the economy both from the enormous epidemic and the lockdown itself
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It’s way too early to make judgements about the wisdom of “early” or “late” lockdowns. Let see how things look after countries have been through their third and fourth lockdowns.
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Hospitalizations in UK have gone up 448% in last 30 days, today will see 1000+ people in ICU, 1500+ deaths in last 7 days and UK will be the 9th country in the world to confirm million cases today. One of the worst death per capita in the world. Guess what comes in 30 days.


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