6/n Yes, the waves are numerically different, but the PROPORTION of deaths in each age band is...remarkably stable. Lots of deaths in older people, far fewer in the younger groups
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I'm not really convinced as the question you ask in post 1 "is COVID-19 getting less deadly?". But then you assume the IFR stays the same (or reduces by 35%). But that is the question that is being asked so we can't just assume the answer! Otherwise, I like the charts very much.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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No evidence the virus has changed.
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Fascinating thread. Looking at deaths cf ICU admissions, former seem to be rising much less quickly (or much later) & the rate of rise seems to be falling (while the rise of admissions & ICU nos continues). Seems different from before...
https://twitter.com/Laconic_doc/status/1323327697947418625 …pic.twitter.com/eZC0C4Rnwb
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FWIW, I had some thoughts as to other factors that might be having an effect...https://twitter.com/Laconic_doc/status/1322661032762986497 …
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