That happens. You just have to revise your models. That's how science works (but not politics, obviously).
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This gives more evidence too. Props to Dr Monica Gandhi. She looked at it through extensive work examining the impact of masks, infection, and herd immunity. Showed even 30+% couldn't curb the spread.https://johnshopkinssph.libsyn.com/142-asymptomatic-infection-with-covid-19 …
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You would think, but now they’re back to ignoring what’s happening in Europe and for some reason assuming it can’t happen here. Just like in March. It never ends. https://twitter.com/ScottWAtlas/status/1320466955061596161 …
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Are you looking for zero COVID or fewer deaths?
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Nothing quite so unhelpful as a chart with out column headings.
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Any threshold will be inaccurate because of the nature of transmissibility of this virus. This is the link to one of the best articles I found about it.https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/ …
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Numbers with no context, seriously what is this?
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Also note Belgium It was a nice piece of wishful thinking for a while, I guess
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Yes... and no... right? Most of these models neglected to factor in seasonality fully (some folk even presumed it wouldn’t make a difference at all). So... if Rt fluctuates by a factor of x, the HIT threshold should change in tandem — which is probably what we’re seeing.
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Ab extensio, it was possible for Sweden (well... Stockholm and Västra Götaland) to simultaneously be at the HIT during summer, while being substantially below the fall/winter HIT.
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