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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 24 Oct 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Eric Topol

      There's a cord in my back, and when you pull it I say "correlation does not equal causation" Using it a lot todayhttps://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1320027008286388224 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Eric TopolVerified account @EricTopol
      The R-squared is 0.73. "You can predict about 73% of the variability in state-level covid symptoms prevalence by knowing how often people wear their masks" @_cingraham https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/10/23/pandemic-data-chart-masks/ … with @CarnegieMellon data pic.twitter.com/HqJ8P7RrJV
      9 replies 8 retweets 94 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 24 Oct 2020

      Masks are good, silly graphs inferring causality from survey results with NUMEROUS explanations...not so much

      3:13 PM - 24 Oct 2020
      • 5 Retweets
      • 76 Likes
      • Nick Complementary Meds GrepMed Abby Langer Nutrition Dylan Ermacora Aleksey The_Skeptical_Scientist⚗️💉🔬🔭⚖️ jobí Liz "The Mask Goes Over Your Nose AND Mouth" Ditz
      8 replies 5 retweets 76 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Maarten van Smeden‏ @MaartenvSmeden 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Yeah, but I still want to get to know someone with COVID symptoms, so I’ll not wear a mask then

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @MaartenvSmeden

          If you wear a mask they'll stop reporting symptoms didn't you see the graph?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Dr Sophia Komninou‏ @SophiaKomninou 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          But neither the graph nor the tweet imply causation. The article on WP I cannot see because it is behind paywall.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. goski‏ @Uintafly 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Yup. And this just gives more ammo to folks who think it’s all BS.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Tom Dric‏ @dric_tom 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          The proportion of the charts that claim to show masks are beneficial by looking at population data that don't have gaping holes is statistically indistinguishable from zero.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Armando Langoustini‏ @ArmLangoustini 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          I'm a great believer in chaos theory. The more control we think we have, the less control we actually have. Complex systems always have variables that can't be accounted for. Small changes in conditions can (and usually do) lead to unpredictable outcomes.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. clotbuster‏ @clotbuster1 24 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Mine says "common sense isn't common" and it has been pulled so many times for the past 4 years that it is about to break.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Mark Hoofnagle‏ @MarkHoofnagle 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Also, i think poisson would be a better model.

          1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Oct 2020
          Replying to @MarkHoofnagle

          Regardless of the function used, I think that the mistake was in creating the graph

          1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
        4. Show replies

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