This is complete and utter nonsense. If cases are rising+accelerating, BY DEFINITION the disease has not reached a herd immunity threshold of any kind https://t.co/dJCj3MlFac
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I guess some people do not know the characteristics of a growth/saturation curve. The overshoot of HIT happens with a negative second derivative ( slow deceleration ) it is like a massive train trying to stop. NOT acceleration.
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Which of my points were "not at all"? If you are right, then the final attack rate of a covid epidemic is deterministically predicted by the proportion of immunes, if we know the true HIT, regardless of superspreading events, growth rate or general stochasticity.
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