I looked into an important question - is COVID-19 becoming less lethal?
Turns out it's a very hard question to answer ping @picardonhealth @MackayIM @Dr2NisreenAlwanhttps://gidmk.medium.com/is-covid-19-getting-less-lethal-f2907e06a0d …
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Much more testing picking up much more of the iceberg is where I'm placing my bet for *most* likely impact. Also interested to read whether
@AdamJKucharski (or any other experts!) has a recent thread or other thoughts on this topic?pic.twitter.com/52ZBOXlrsn
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Ian, we have some work in progress on this. It looks very much like your "more iceberg" theory is correct. More follows.
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I can't wait to read it!
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Look forward to your thoughts. It's not quite ready for prime time. BTW: thanks so much for your work on IFR. We are finally finishing some work in that area and what you've already done has been invaluable.
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My pleasure. It's been a bit of a wild ride, but glad to know it's helped!
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