I looked into an important question - is COVID-19 becoming less lethal?
Turns out it's a very hard question to answer ping @picardonhealth @MackayIM @Dr2NisreenAlwanhttps://gidmk.medium.com/is-covid-19-getting-less-lethal-f2907e06a0d …
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Much more testing picking up much more of the iceberg is where I'm placing my bet for *most* likely impact. Also interested to read whether
@AdamJKucharski (or any other experts!) has a recent thread or other thoughts on this topic?pic.twitter.com/52ZBOXlrsn
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Replying to @MackayIM @picardonhealth and
I think that's probably true! I reckon part of the problem with using hospital admissions to estimate death rate differences is that getting admitted to hospital isn't some fixed process with a standard ratio - it probably also varied over time!
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So essentially a denominator issue (I'm sure you know this, but I like to tweet my thoughts)
6:43 PM - 22 Oct 2020
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