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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 22 Oct 2020

    My new piece: Is COVID-19 getting less deadly over time? A really difficult question to answerhttps://gidmk.medium.com/is-covid-19-getting-less-lethal-f2907e06a0d …

    3:41 PM - 22 Oct 2020
    • 19 Retweets
    • 54 Likes
    • amy Kat DJ Vicki Allen Crabb Phillip Blackwell Aanjaa (auf der Durchreise) Aviva Gabriel Ioannis Kontoyiannis RosemarySage
    6 replies 19 retweets 54 likes
      1. dadlani‏ @dadlani 22 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        How do you factor in behaviour fr ppl like me self-isolating since march, homeoffice, no kids, bc we are aware that our risk to be very ill or dead due to preconditions is really high. extreme prevention will reduce deaths but virus will be still deadly to us if we got it

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. epsilon‏ @epsilon3141 22 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Great writing as usual. I would add one important aspect thats not coverd: The pontential of "getting less deadly" via virus mutation plus selection pressure to better adapt to human hosts. AFIK we havn't found such mutations yet. But still would be intersting to speculate ...

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Wil S.‏ @binaryanalogue 22 Oct 2020
        Replying to @epsilon3141 @GidMK

        What would that pressure be, though? The virus is able to spread well enough prior to symptom onset and most ultimately survive infection. I don't see much pressure to be less pathogenic.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Roland Giersig 2500 BAU/ml  🖕‏ @RolandGiersig 22 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Maybe the patients are getting younger? 🤷‍♂️ Younger patients have a higher survival rate.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Ingo Heuschkel  🔴 🔴 🔴‏ @IngoHeuschkel 24 Oct 2020

        Not sure whether d614g mutation/variant agrees with this .

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Jan Hartmann‏ @pelagicbird 22 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        IFR now probably a bit lower because of improvements in therapy and earlier recognization/treatment of people at risk. Some still speculative but possible effect of facial masking and lowering of average inoculation dose on severity of disease as well.https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2026913 …

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Franck McBecker‏ @Franck_McBecker 23 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Looking pragmatically also into another statistical data perspective?pic.twitter.com/pCYCvyrq75

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1.  🔴Ute Bohnsack  🇪🇺  😷 💉 💉‏ @chook411 23 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Great piece. Wouldn't the masks <> viral load factor also play a role?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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