This article raises some interesting points. Have death rates from COVID-19 gone done since March?https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/10/20/925441975/studies-point-to-big-drop-in-covid-19-death-rates …
-
-
I would go so far as to say that this study implies that any differences in ICU mortality in England due to COVID-19 are ~almost certainly~ down to admission criteria (which were strained during the peak in early April)
Show this thread -
So, back to the question at the beginning of the thread: are your chances of dying from COVID-19 lower today than they were in March? Honestly, while we'd hope so, I'm not sure we can conclude much either way
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
@GidMK, extra plots from the forthcoming full paper which may help - A) absolute survival estimates B) the same adjusted analysis but with all March admissions collapsed into reference cat (Wks 1-5). To me, overall these support an improvement in later months vs March/early Aprilpic.twitter.com/Z6WphDdtf3
-
That's interesting, andI'm keen to read, but what's the justification for putting the first 5 weeks together like that? Seems just as arbitrary as choosing week 5 as the starting point
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.