Controversial opinion: those that say its not possible to shield the vulnerable, also won't be able to prove if there is a difference (or lack of it) between the trajectory of the virus at Madrid and Stockholm. Who do you think has let it rip?
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The other issue is that you can't easily compare across seroepidemiological samples in terms of the ratio in age groups as you have done, because some of them used probabilistic sampling and some did not (i.e. the ratio differences could be explained by sampling)
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Sorry, wont be able to look at this today. Travelling by car (no airplanes) 900km to help father-in-law (92) and uncle-in-law (78) diff. households because of severe clinical depression (they dont eat anymore). Who would have thought effect of depriving vulnerable from family?
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You are right there. A/S ratio is 0.51 in ENECOVID (not 1), we already corrected it in the model. But being a second order effect, lowers immunity level estimations less than 6% (Brussels 74% to 70%, Madrid 43% to 41%).
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