Controversial opinion: those that say its not possible to shield the vulnerable, also won't be able to prove if there is a difference (or lack of it) between the trajectory of the virus at Madrid and Stockholm. Who do you think has let it rip?
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In particular, the model is incredibly sensitive to the infectious period - in the paper you've got 2 days which seems extremely low. Best evidence suggests 6-9 days, if you input that the model becomes fairly incoherentpic.twitter.com/6GMQNFL2hw
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Similarly, the proportion asymptomatic is probably around a 3x overestimate based on best evidencehttps://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003346 …
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