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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted

      People have been asking me to debunk this thread "proving" that COVID-19 deaths are false positives by correlating things, but instead I thought I'd simply list a few things that are more well correlated than this https://twitter.com/ClareCraigPath/status/1317009608448290816 …

      Health Nerd added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      6 replies 100 retweets 332 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      US spending on science, and suicides by hanging/strangulation/suffocation 99.97% "Biology just isn't like that"pic.twitter.com/BqeZEHL4fE

      1 reply 3 retweets 105 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      Divorce in Maine, consumption of margarine 99.26% "Biology just isn't like that"pic.twitter.com/AGpnDWRBbS

      3 replies 8 retweets 114 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      Arcade revenue and computer science doctorates 98.51% "Biology just isn't like that"pic.twitter.com/WS23RWtjNf

      2 replies 3 retweets 94 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      These are all from the excellent Spurious Correlations website from Tyler Vigen, who also has a book out of the same name https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations …

      1 reply 7 retweets 127 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020

      Anyway, it's perhaps not surprising that COVID-19 positive tests in hospital and deaths from COVID-19 would track somewhat, so there's not really much to debunk

      3 replies 0 retweets 87 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Dan Babs‏ @DanDbab 18 Oct 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I still don't quite get it - isn't she claiming deaths correlate with number of tests, not positives? You seem to be addressing something different to what she's saying - ie the correlation between A (deaths) and B (positives), when she's suggesting both are caused by C (tests)?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 Oct 2020
      Replying to @DanDbab

      She's saying that since the deaths correlate with number of tests done, all tests are false positives. There's no consideration that the main underlying cause for an increase in tests is that COVID-19 cases increased

      4:25 PM - 18 Oct 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Massimo Sandal Dan Babs
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dan Babs‏ @DanDbab 18 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          1/2 Right cheers, that what I thought she was saying. IMO that's a bit different to saying positives correlate with deaths therefore deaths are false positives - an increase in testing obviously would raise # false positives to some degree, so it's at least a sensical claim.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Dan Babs‏ @DanDbab 18 Oct 2020
          Replying to @DanDbab @GidMK

          2/2 But of course I use the world sensical liberally, and if understand the implications of test positivity correctly, not very likely (again): https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&country=GBR~AUS&region=World&positiveTestRate=true&interval=smoothed&perCapita=true&smoothing=7&pickerMetric=total_cases&pickerSort=desc …pic.twitter.com/0rpsNjQYmV

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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