Sein lower estimate ist 1.58 Mio Corona Tote ÜBER 5 JAHRE; Stand heute gibt es 1,08 Mio Corona-Tote, wobei zB in Europa die Todeszahlen ansteigen. Es ist nicht unwahrscheinlich, dass sein lower estimate bereits nach 1 Jahr Pandemie erreicht wird. (7/x) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
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Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and
Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd
Fachwissenschaftler haben sich das auch schon sehr detailliert angesehen (thanks to
@GidMK !!) - ich habe bisher nur allgemein argumentiert, ohne epidemiologische Fachkenntnis, aber selbst das würde ausreichen, um zumindest sehr stutzig zu werden. (8/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447757067362305?s=20 …Michael (Mike) Meier added,
1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes -
Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and
Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd
Fachwissenschaftler sehen zB größere Probleme bei der Statistik, wir konzentrieren uns gleich auf IFR. (9/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447815959539712?s=20 …
Michael (Mike) Meier added,
Health NerdVerified account @GidMK21/n Of note, however, the author makes a classic statistical error in dichotomizing age into two buckets We now know that the risk from age is CONTINUOUS, and so looking at the arbitrary cutoff of 70 years will lead to an erroneous result pic.twitter.com/EBQ3MVCLXTShow this thread1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and
Neben dem Plausibilitätscheck bestätigen die Fachwissenschaftler (siehe Nachtrag) die fragliche Studienauswahl (s.o.), die zu falschen Ergebnissen führt! Mein Fazit: nicht belastbar, zusammegeschummelt durch fragwürdige Studienauswahl, Plausibilitätscheck fail. (10/10)
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Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and
Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd
Nachtrag (Input von F& mit achwissenschaftlern): https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1314398873058713601?s=20 … https://twitter.com/CovidSerology/status/1315353019521794048 …https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232036023439360 …
Michael (Mike) Meier added,
0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes -
This Tweet is unavailable.
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Ich kann das nicht, wie gesagt fachfremd, aber die Kolleg*innen werden das sicher tun - wenn der Artikel zu den IFRs von Herrn I überhaupt mal zur Publikation angenommen wird ...
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Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and
WHO just published Dr. Ionniadis study. Conclusion "The inferred infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic." https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf …pic.twitter.com/wJF8oe3zU8
35 replies 616 retweets 1,033 likes -
Replying to @prof_freedom @AK_Meier and
Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
As with the previous versions of this study, there are unfortunately quite a number of errors in the paperhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1316511734115385344?s=20 …
Health Nerd added,
2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes -
Fortunately it lines up with two separate estimates (WHO/Economist) of total global infections (and we think those are quite low as they are both based solely on antibody studies). In reality global IFR outside nursing homes is near 0.06%.
4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
The WHO has not estimated IFR. They have said that the upper estimate of those infected in the world is 10%, and people have incorrectly assumed that this meant that 10% of the world is definitely infected. The economist I have not seen
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Replying to @GidMK @UnintendedCons5 and
No, Dr. Ryan definitely literally said “Our current best estimates tell us that about 10 per cent of the global population may have been infected by this virus”. That does not mean "upper estimate", as much as it means "at least".https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/covid-19-world-in-for-a-hell-of-a-ride-in-coming-months-dr-mike-ryan-says-1.4370626?mode=amp …
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