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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Sein lower estimate ist 1.58 Mio Corona Tote ÜBER 5 JAHRE; Stand heute gibt es 1,08 Mio Corona-Tote, wobei zB in Europa die Todeszahlen ansteigen. Es ist nicht unwahrscheinlich, dass sein lower estimate bereits nach 1 Jahr Pandemie erreicht wird. (7/x) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 

      1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
    2. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Fachwissenschaftler haben sich das auch schon sehr detailliert angesehen (thanks to @GidMK !!) - ich habe bisher nur allgemein argumentiert, ohne epidemiologische Fachkenntnis, aber selbst das würde ausreichen, um zumindest sehr stutzig zu werden. (8/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447757067362305?s=20 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Recently, John Ioannidis, of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame, published a commentary piece on COVID-19 and global action I thought it would be good to do a bit of peer-review on twitter 1/n pic.twitter.com/8oAJkBI5Hk
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
    3. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Fachwissenschaftler sehen zB größere Probleme bei der Statistik, wir konzentrieren uns gleich auf IFR. (9/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447815959539712?s=20 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      21/n Of note, however, the author makes a classic statistical error in dichotomizing age into two buckets We now know that the risk from age is CONTINUOUS, and so looking at the arbitrary cutoff of 70 years will lead to an erroneous result pic.twitter.com/EBQ3MVCLXT
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    4. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Neben dem Plausibilitätscheck bestätigen die Fachwissenschaftler (siehe Nachtrag) die fragliche Studienauswahl (s.o.), die zu falschen Ergebnissen führt! Mein Fazit: nicht belastbar, zusammegeschummelt durch fragwürdige Studienauswahl, Plausibilitätscheck fail. (10/10)

      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
    5. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Nachtrag (Input von F& mit achwissenschaftlern): https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1314398873058713601?s=20 … https://twitter.com/CovidSerology/status/1315353019521794048 …https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232036023439360 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      8/n Let me illustrate with an example This study has been included to calculate IFRs for 4 regions of China - Hubei (not Wuhan), Chonqing, Sichuan, and Guangdong pic.twitter.com/fZFInUGuHU
      Show this thread
      0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
    6. This Tweet is unavailable.
    7. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 14 Oct 2020

      Ich kann das nicht, wie gesagt fachfremd, aber die Kolleg*innen werden das sicher tun - wenn der Artikel zu den IFRs von Herrn I überhaupt mal zur Publikation angenommen wird ...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Prof. Freedom‏ @prof_freedom 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      WHO just published Dr. Ionniadis study. Conclusion "The inferred infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic." https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf …pic.twitter.com/wJF8oe3zU8

      35 replies 616 retweets 1,033 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @prof_freedom @AK_Meier and

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      As with the previous versions of this study, there are unfortunately quite a number of errors in the paperhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1316511734115385344?s=20 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      John Ioannidis, of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame, has now had his paper on IFR published Let's do one, final, twitter peer-review on the study 1/n pic.twitter.com/D24ut4zGJj
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    10. Unintended Consequence‏ @UnintendedCons5 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @AK_Meier and

      Fortunately it lines up with two separate estimates (WHO/Economist) of total global infections (and we think those are quite low as they are both based solely on antibody studies). In reality global IFR outside nursing homes is near 0.06%.

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @UnintendedCons5 @AK_Meier and

      The WHO has not estimated IFR. They have said that the upper estimate of those infected in the world is 10%, and people have incorrectly assumed that this meant that 10% of the world is definitely infected. The economist I have not seen

      10:59 PM - 14 Oct 2020
      • 3 Likes
      • Markus Andreas Prucha 🔴🟡 Michael (Mike) Meier
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Joshua Schoenaker‏ @JoshSchoen 15 Oct 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @UnintendedCons5 and

          No, Dr. Ryan definitely literally said “Our current best estimates tell us that about 10 per cent of the global population may have been infected by this virus”. That does not mean "upper estimate", as much as it means "at least".https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/covid-19-world-in-for-a-hell-of-a-ride-in-coming-months-dr-mike-ryan-says-1.4370626?mode=amp …

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Show replies

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