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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Wir erinnern uns, dass Ioannidis schon mal mit einer Vorhersage komplett daneben lag; das Erste, das mir hier aufgefallen ist, ist die sehr eingeschränkte und unbegründete Studienauswahl, dazu später noch mehr. Nur durch diese Einschränkungen kommt er zu niedrigen IFRs! (5/x)pic.twitter.com/NX0gbVOmQ1

      2 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
    2. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted COVID Impact

      Aber diese zu niedrigen IFRs verwendet er nun, um im o.g. Paper Vorhersagen zu machen - diese halten selbst den einfachsten Plausibilitätstests nicht Stand. (6/x)https://twitter.com/CovidSerology/status/1315352909123518464?s=20 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      COVID Impact @CovidSerology
      New commentary from John Ioannidis. I find the first two lines and modeled deaths over 5 years to be very interesting. Excess death figures adjusted for under reporting and missed fatalities suggests #COVID19 deaths at least 2x reported number (2M). https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/eci.13423 … 1/n pic.twitter.com/2cqLdMEdTL
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
    3. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Sein lower estimate ist 1.58 Mio Corona Tote ÜBER 5 JAHRE; Stand heute gibt es 1,08 Mio Corona-Tote, wobei zB in Europa die Todeszahlen ansteigen. Es ist nicht unwahrscheinlich, dass sein lower estimate bereits nach 1 Jahr Pandemie erreicht wird. (7/x) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 

      1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
    4. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Fachwissenschaftler haben sich das auch schon sehr detailliert angesehen (thanks to @GidMK !!) - ich habe bisher nur allgemein argumentiert, ohne epidemiologische Fachkenntnis, aber selbst das würde ausreichen, um zumindest sehr stutzig zu werden. (8/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447757067362305?s=20 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Recently, John Ioannidis, of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame, published a commentary piece on COVID-19 and global action I thought it would be good to do a bit of peer-review on twitter 1/n pic.twitter.com/8oAJkBI5Hk
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
    5. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Fachwissenschaftler sehen zB größere Probleme bei der Statistik, wir konzentrieren uns gleich auf IFR. (9/x)https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315447815959539712?s=20 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      21/n Of note, however, the author makes a classic statistical error in dichotomizing age into two buckets We now know that the risk from age is CONTINUOUS, and so looking at the arbitrary cutoff of 70 years will lead to an erroneous result pic.twitter.com/EBQ3MVCLXT
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    6. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Neben dem Plausibilitätscheck bestätigen die Fachwissenschaftler (siehe Nachtrag) die fragliche Studienauswahl (s.o.), die zu falschen Ergebnissen führt! Mein Fazit: nicht belastbar, zusammegeschummelt durch fragwürdige Studienauswahl, Plausibilitätscheck fail. (10/10)

      1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
    7. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 11 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      Michael (Mike) Meier Retweeted Health Nerd

      Nachtrag (Input von F& mit achwissenschaftlern): https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1314398873058713601?s=20 … https://twitter.com/CovidSerology/status/1315353019521794048 …https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232036023439360 …

      Michael (Mike) Meier added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      8/n Let me illustrate with an example This study has been included to calculate IFRs for 4 regions of China - Hubei (not Wuhan), Chonqing, Sichuan, and Guangdong pic.twitter.com/fZFInUGuHU
      Show this thread
      0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
    8. This Tweet is unavailable.
    9. Michael (Mike) Meier‏ @AK_Meier 14 Oct 2020

      Ich kann das nicht, wie gesagt fachfremd, aber die Kolleg*innen werden das sicher tun - wenn der Artikel zu den IFRs von Herrn I überhaupt mal zur Publikation angenommen wird ...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Prof. Freedom‏ @prof_freedom 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @AK_Meier @holmenkollin and

      WHO just published Dr. Ionniadis study. Conclusion "The inferred infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic." https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf …pic.twitter.com/wJF8oe3zU8

      35 replies 616 retweets 1,033 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 14 Oct 2020
      Replying to @prof_freedom @AK_Meier and

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      As with the previous versions of this study, there are unfortunately quite a number of errors in the paperhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1316511734115385344?s=20 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      John Ioannidis, of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame, has now had his paper on IFR published Let's do one, final, twitter peer-review on the study 1/n pic.twitter.com/D24ut4zGJj
      Show this thread
      4:18 PM - 14 Oct 2020
      • 5 Likes
      • raging_steel Atomsk's Sanakan Andreas Prucha 🔴🟡 Ronald Richman Michael (Mike) Meier
      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes

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