One of the first worldwide examinations of the question of whether lockdowns were detrimental or beneficial to the economy is out from the IMF The answer? IT DEPENDShttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315803750754213888 …
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
One of the first worldwide examinations of the question of whether lockdowns were detrimental or beneficial to the economy is out from the IMF The answer? IT DEPENDShttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1315803750754213888 …
Health Nerd added,
Interestingly, the report also has implications for the #GreatBarringtonDeclaration, because it appears rather unlikely that the ECONOMIC elements of the plan are well supported or likely to be correct
To put it another way, if you were to strive for herd immunity in a population, the likelihood - based on the IMF analysis - is that you would suffer AS BAD/WORSE economic outcomes than if you locked down
You probably saw this.https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-sweden-gdp-falls-8pc-in-q2-worse-nordic-neighbors-2020-8 …
I did. Based on the IMF analysis, I think it actually makes more sense - with very high levels of infection, the rate of economic decline approaches that of the tightest lockdowns, but with far more cases/deaths
And it's probably also because Sweden's people did indeed change their way of living, "locked down" themselves in some level, although we only see photos of those folks having fun in restaurants.
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