27/n The basic idea is that, rather than thinking about the next few months, we should be designing policies based on what will likely happen over the next 5-10 YEARS This is a good point, and not made often enough!
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28/n Short-term lockdowns made sense in the early days of the pandemic, but given the months since it is perfectly reasonable to suggest that there may be better ways to manage the disease moving forward
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29/n For example, from a GLOBAL perspective, I think that there may certainly be places in which heavy long-term restrictions do not make that much sense
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30/n Nigeria, for example, has a median age of 18 years. Less than 10% of the population is over 55. Given how much lower the risk is for younger people, harsher restrictions may not make as much sensehttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v6 …
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31/n Conversely, the U.S. has a much older population, on average, and thus is at far greater risk from COVID-19 generally
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32/n That being said, this piece appears to use inappropriate evidence, misleading comparisons, and generally underestimate the risk/impact of COVID-19, which makes it problematic as a resource
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33/n As one final example, the author makes this statement in the conclusion, that measures taken to halt the pandemic are essentially destroying the world The reference? His own opinion piece in the Boston Readerpic.twitter.com/yUsFmyAWEO
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34/n I just checked, and Ioannidis cites himself 8 times in this paper, with 4 of those references being media or commentary articles
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35/n Oh also, on another note, given the relatively few meta-studies on COVID-19 IFR, it appears that the authors that Ioannidis here describes as "inexperienced" and "overtly wrong" are me and
@LeaMerone Academic civility!pic.twitter.com/CRV0VElQfh
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Replying to @GidMK
Who is this guy??? Gid our methods were sound and you even checked with a highly experienced colleague. And our paper went through rigorous peer review. Political gain? Easy to smear two younger authors.....
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He's one of the most cited researchers in the world, and a tenured professor at Stanford university
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Replying to @GidMK
What in though? What’s his field? And I’m sorry but researchers aren’t born experienced - we gain it over time. I don’t think inexperienced should be a criticism.
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Replying to @LeaMerone
He used to be a prof of Epidemiology at John Tufts, now he's a professor of Medicine, Health Research and Health Policy I also agree, it's a really out of line thing to say about people in a published paper imo
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