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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Oct 2020

    Health Nerd Retweeted Chelsea Hetherington

    Before everyone panics about the 3 reported cases, I think it's worth noting that THIS IS NOT SURPRISING Most places in the world that have had no cases for long periods of time do eventually see a few pop up (NZ, SK, China etc). Getting on top of them is part of the processhttps://twitter.com/chelsea_hetho/status/1313632449704783872 …

    Health Nerd added,

    Chelsea Hetherington @chelsea_hetho
    12 Days!! NSW has recorded no new locally acquired cases of COVID-19. Just 3 new cases in hotel quarantine from 5,970 tests. However, since 8pm, three separate cases have been confirmed in Campbelltown, Parramatta and Wollondilly, and are under urgent investigation. @abcnews
    5:11 PM - 6 Oct 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 41 Likes
    • Elias Hasle Dr Kevin Purcell 🇬🇧🇮🇪🇺🇸 😷💉 Bruce Tabor Emily Rugel John B brotts oakley 🦚 💉 Saloni 𝘾𝙝𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙇𝙖𝙇𝙖 💉💉
    5 replies 8 retweets 41 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Rose 🦄 🏳️‍🌈 STAY•TF•HOME••N95 Marie Holt‏ @Rose_Marie_Holt 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        If it's treated as an urgency or emergency that's helpful. No need to panic unless ppl don't do what we all know needs to be done. How long can I be in panic mode & survive?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3.  💧Bluegum #OurABC- worth fighting for‏ @ssk2000 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @Rose_Marie_Holt @GidMK

        I've yet to see anyone panic. I've seen people who are concerned about this making an effort to be informed, I've seen them listen to and take the advice of the experts. Is this "panicking"? What on Earth are you seeing that validates using that term?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. o rly?‏ @Reasonableques3 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Sure. It’s not surprising but it’s still disappointing

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. James Wood‏ @JamesGWood_UNSW 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Yes, and sewage testing looks to be a useful addition here. Sensitivity of (non-case-contact) community testing is uncertain. My guess (based on flutracking, PCR sens and symp fraction) is ~40% ... so agree not surprising if we missed a case or too (bummer though).

        1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
      3. Meru Sheel‏Verified account @merusheel 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @JamesGWood_UNSW @GidMK

        Do we know the proportion of 'true' asymptomatic in Australia? I haven't seen the data but may not have looked properly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. National Picnic Crab  🦀 🇦🇺‏ @Glaven1994 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        I think the more absurd thing is the border closure criteria.

        3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Mick O’Brien‏ @mickobrien83 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @Glaven1994 @GidMK

        Spot. On.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Waiting for them anti-bodhis to build up‏ @kenanalytics 6 Oct 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @colourmeamused_

        Not panicking. So 3 is an unknown % of the underlying prevalence. How do we know that the situation is under control or not? I'd assume this means a lot of current cases are asymptomatic or declining to get tested. Is this something a change in policy can address?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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