Apropos of nothing, according to our systematic review and meta-analysis of the age-stratified IFR of COVID-19, a 74-year-old person who catches the disease has a 1 in 25 risk of deathpic.twitter.com/sKTGHB0aoJ
You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more
Assume he'll get convalescent plasma treatment and remdesevir. Does that improve his odds?
Maybe by about 25%
Males have a higher fatality rate too.
how can it be 1 in 25 risk when i thought the ifr of over 70 was only about 8%
He's a pretty active person he is out and about nearly everyday giving speeches and travelling, also very wealthy so would get the BEST care.
But most of the people in this analysis were tested because they were symptomatic, right? The President wasn’t. These probabilities wouldn’t apply to him until he has symptoms.
I can imagine him ever being stressed by the chaos he creates. He just sails on regardless, whilst the lackeys and sycophants deal with the fallout.
You say that your estimates align with Verity et al's study from March. So you are not seeing a decline in fatalities over time (as treatment protocols presumably improve?).
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.