Bummer no age stratification
[Yes, that would be a LOT more complicated]
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Gid is doing age-stratification, I think, in another upcoming paper. It's going to ruffle deniers' feathers like you wouldn't believe. And I am here for it.
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Shakiba et al. IFR estimates for Guilan is almost certainly an underestimation. We now know from the excess mortality data that the actual number of Covid-related deaths in Guilan is likely twice what they reported at the time. See:https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.18.20070904v2 …
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Can you think of another subject where the effect size magnifies with the quality of the research model?
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I'm not sure I'd say that the effect size magnifies here - what's happening is that better studies capture a lower seroprevalence, which in turn drives the IFR up. Bad serosurveys tend to oversample people who've been sick for whatever reason
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