Two main errors there. Firstly, the previous pandemic death tolls were ESTIMATED using EXCESS MORTALITY and pneumonia diagnoses (among other things). Comparing them with confirmed COVID-19 fatalities makes no sense
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For e.g. we know that some countries are undercounting COVID-19 deaths by as much as 50%, so if you were to estimate a total death toll thus far it would be much higher
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The second issue is that the other pandemics took place over quite long periods of time, while COVID-19 has only been a pandemic disease for ~8 months. The 'final' death toll is extremely hard to predict at this point
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Replying to @sabhlok
No, but they could plausibly be, say, 30% higher worldwide right now, and double over the next 6 months. It's also worth noting that the massive global intervention makes it very challenging to compare this pandemic to earlier ones
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Just one tiny example - most corticosteroids were only invented in the early 60s, and certainly not widely used in '57. How many people would've lived in that year if they had had access to such a treatment?
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